The 100-Year Pattern book cover
2026 Edition, Updated and Expanded

The 100-Year Pattern

How Data Science Unlocks Wall Street's Seasonal Calendar

by Afshin Moshrefi

Foreword by David M. Aferiat, Co-Founder of Trade Ideas LLC

Afshin doesn't just describe market patterns. He reveals a hidden structure that's been shaping price action for over a century. His breakthrough is not just conceptual, it's practical. Through TradeWave, he gives you access to the data, the tools, and the time-tested windows that let you map your trading fingerprint.

David M. Aferiat
Co-Founder, Trade Ideas LLC · Founder & CEO, The Avid Group

A Note on This Edition

Earlier printings said I could not find anyone who had documented this pattern. That was wrong.

Jeffrey Hirsch and the Stock Trader's Almanac have published a quarterly version, which they call the Sweet Spot, for years. I missed it because the Almanac is a print product and the research tools I used do not index print. That is a real limitation, not an excuse.

Chapter 7 is corrected and now states what the actual contribution is: the Almanac's tradeable figures begin in 1949, this record begins in 1930 and includes the only cycle that failed, and the window here is measured to the day rather than by quarter.

Nobody asked me to make this change.

Afshin Moshrefi

Corrected in the current printing, August 2026.

What's Inside the Book

This is not a prediction book. It is a probability book. What history gives us is context: what is typical, what is rare, and what deserves special respect.

📈

98 Years of S&P 500 Data

Nearly a century of usable seasonal history. When you have that much data, patterns don't need to be mystical. They either show up repeatedly or they don't.

🔍

The 100-Year Pattern

A seasonal window starting September 27 that has failed once in 24 complete cycles going back to 1930. The book explains what it means and why 2026 matters.

🛠

TradeWave Integration

Learn how to work with the Opportunity Table, Trend Chart, and TradeWave Ratio (TWR), and how to align these tools with a strategy that suits you.

📊

5 Data Appendices

Real-world repetition results, curated high-quality patterns, Buy & Hold vs. seasonal windows, futures & commodities examples, and a shareable opportunity template.

September 27, 2026

One of the most important dates in this book. It marks the beginning of the 100-Year Pattern, a seasonal window that has been one of the most consistent rhythms in nearly a century of market data.

About the Author

Afshin Moshrefi

Afshin Moshrefi

Founder, TradeWave · Tara Data Research LLC

With a background spanning AI, machine learning, SaaS development, and enterprise systems, Afshin built TradeWave to answer a simple question: what does history actually tell us about the market? The 100-Year Pattern is the culmination of years spent observing not just what markets do, but why most traders fail to engage with them in a way that reflects their own strengths. His goal is to help you stop guessing in the dark.

Start Reading Today

Download the free preview including the Introduction and Chapter 7, or get the full book on Amazon.